Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.027958 0.030115 0.032369 0.034904 0.037679 0.040628 0.044004
2025-01-26 0.024555 0.027636 0.031029 0.035055 0.039718 0.044968 0.051354
2025-02-02 0.022464 0.026132 0.030333 0.035528 0.041818 0.049234 0.058707
2025-02-09 0.020508 0.024483 0.029182 0.035188 0.042724 0.051949 0.064226
2025-02-16 0.019041 0.023237 0.028329 0.035027 0.043697 0.054667 0.069804
2025-02-23 0.017771 0.022104 0.027485 0.034741 0.044394 0.056976 0.074914
2025-03-02 0.016798 0.021257 0.026912 0.034713 0.045358 0.059619 0.080589
2025-03-09 0.015769 0.020257 0.026055 0.034217 0.045609 0.061253 0.084907
2025-03-16 0.014794 0.019264 0.025134 0.033550 0.045542 0.062387 0.088523
2025-03-23 0.014046 0.018527 0.024506 0.033229 0.045909 0.064117 0.093095
2025-03-30 0.013374 0.017853 0.023918 0.032915 0.046241 0.065782 0.097645
2025-04-06 0.012646 0.017063 0.023124 0.032247 0.045991 0.066533 0.100778
2025-04-13 0.012283 0.016772 0.023024 0.032592 0.047287 0.069730 0.108110
2025-04-20 0.011828 0.016326 0.022676 0.032545 0.047970 0.072006 0.114102
2025-04-27 0.011533 0.016097 0.022627 0.032936 0.049347 0.075457 0.122337
2025-05-04 0.011063 0.015587 0.022136 0.032615 0.049561 0.077014 0.127385
2025-05-11 0.010673 0.015176 0.021772 0.032467 0.050033 0.079010 0.133354
2025-05-18 0.010279 0.014743 0.021353 0.032205 0.050293 0.080649 0.138779
2025-05-25 0.009969 0.014424 0.021092 0.032179 0.050939 0.082977 0.145662
2025-06-01 0.009576 0.013961 0.020587 0.031726 0.050825 0.083952 0.150021
2025-06-08 0.009170 0.013462 0.020004 0.031116 0.050403 0.084340 0.153243
2025-06-15 0.008859 0.013099 0.019623 0.030823 0.050512 0.085689 0.158479
2025-06-22 0.008566 0.012755 0.019258 0.030536 0.050613 0.087018 0.163768